Question:

The recorded air quality index (AQI) at a place in a city for \(16\) consecutive days for the current year is compared with the historical average AQI. The direction of the recorded AQI is noted as \(+\) if it is above the historical average and as \(-\) if it is below the historical average. The dataset is as below:

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In a runs test, very small or very large values of the number of runs indicate non-randomness. A central value of \(R\) does not lead to rejection of randomness.
Updated On: Jun 4, 2026
  • \(P\) is correct and \(Q\) is NOT correct
  • \(P\) is NOT correct and \(Q\) is correct
  • Both \(P\) and \(Q\) are correct
  • Neither \(P\) nor \(Q\) is correct
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The Correct Option is A

Solution and Explanation

Step 1: Understand the concept of runs.
A run is a sequence of similar symbols occurring consecutively.
The given sequence is
\[ + \; + \; - \; + \; - \; - \; + \; + \; + \; + \; - \; - \; - \; + \; + \; - \]

Step 2: Count the runs.
Grouping consecutive similar signs, we get
\[ ++ \;|\; - \;|\; + \;|\; -- \;|\; ++++ \;|\; --- \;|\; ++ \;|\; - \] Therefore, the number of runs is
\[ R=8 \] Hence, statement \(P\) is correct.

Step 3: Test randomness using the runs test.
Here, the number of positive signs is
\[ 9 \] and the number of negative signs is
\[ 7 \] The observed value is
\[ R=8 \] For a two-sided runs test at level \(0.05\), \(H_0\) is rejected only when the observed number of runs is unusually small or unusually large.
Given that
\[ P(R\leq 6)=0.108 \] This probability is already greater than \(0.05\).
Also, for the observed value
\[ R=8, \] we have
\[ P(R\leq 8)=0.4271 \] which is not small.
Thus, the observed number of runs is not extreme enough to reject \(H_0\).
Therefore, statement \(Q\) is NOT correct.

Step 4: Final conclusion.
Statement \(P\) is correct and statement \(Q\) is NOT correct.
Hence,
\[ \boxed{(A)} \]
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